Are Stats Helpful to Predict Games Outcomes?


Today is a big day for Italian basketball after the huge upset victory against Spain at the European Basketball Championships.

Recently I came across a blog post by, the official supplier of statistics for the NBA, about the growing importance of 3-pointer in the game. The article compare historical data for teams and players in the NBA, the author underlined also the increase in the interest fro 3-point shooter by scouts and consequent increase in their salary. I thought about the article immediately after seeing the performance of Italian 3-point shooters and especially Belinelli on last night important match against Spain.

Following my previous entry on how technologies and wearable devices will change sports, this is a good example of how an accurate analysis of the data could predict the outcome of a game, or at least the dominant factors, with luck as the only major not predictable variable.

Stats on the field can predict the outcome of a game or a season; data collected during practices from intensity of the workout to the power generated could predict athlete’s performance in the future but also prevent injuries and other effects of overtraining. Especially in sports where strength and explosiveness are major indicator of success, collecting data from every training sessions will help strength coaches target specific muscle groups or exercises needed to improve those qualities. Also recurring patterns could be discovered among top athletes and be helpful to identify future sports stars.


by tommyrondi

Huge fan of the Beast Sensor, I have been involved with sports all my life, first as an athlete and later as a coach. I worked as alpine skiing coach for four years and played in the Italian national lacrosse team. "work hard, play hard"